Destined to be an idiot

I think if there's one thing that's undeniably true about the present time, the period of history in which the internet is invented, the early 21'st century, that thing is that it's going to be short. By that, I mean -- the dark ages went on for quite a while, and the Roman Empire quite a long time before that.  The Industrial Age even got a good hundred years in there.

But whatever you want to call the current time in history, and whatever you think is going to happen in the future, I think we can be confident that a hundred years from now, it'll look very, very different.  Probably unrecognizably so.

There are plenty of theories -- nuclear apocalypse, the Singularity, post-scarcity and the techno-utopia, mass extinction due to global warming -- but whatever it is, it's not going to be like it is now for much longer.

And one of the cool things, I think, about living in a time like this is that I'm pretty much guaranteed to be horribly wrong about everything, once you get out to a long enough scale.

I mean, I don't think I'll be quite as wrong as the people who think, for example, that the record companies are basically going to be fine once the government deals with that pesky filesharing problem, or the people who think some possibly-fictional schizophrenic from the bronze age is their Personal Lord and Savior.

But there's an insane amount of unpredictability in our future, and the best I can possibly say is "This is what I've got my fingers crossed for" -- like, "This is what I hope we'll do, and if we do it, I hope it'll work."

I'm not entirely sure why I think that's cool, but I do.

Talk to you tomorrow.